Nominees for the 77th Golden Globe Awards will be announced tomorrow morning, December 9th, at 8 AM Eastern/5 AM Pacific, shortly before the crack of dawn in Los Angeles. With the Oscars moved up to early February, awards season is shortened this year. That means less time for you to catch the nominees, always a challenge especially if you're not in New York or Los Angeles, and less time for the movies and contenders to fine-tune and perfect their campaigns. The Globes ceremony will be held on January 5th, the first Sunday of 2020, which comes right in the middle of the Oscars' five-day nomination window. Ricky Gervais ("Derek") will be back to host the boozy, NBC-broadcast night ("The Biggest Party in Hollywood"™) supposedly for one last time. There's little chance that the Globes won't have some impact on the season, be it cementing certain things as frontrunners or advancing others as dark horses.
For critics with our own awards deadlines, this is crunch time. I recently passed the 100 theatrical releases mark for this year and have but a few game-changing releases still to see, including Richard Jewell this week, Little Women, Star Wars, and Cats next, and The Two Popes who knows when. I have to say I'm really quite pleased with what I have seen of this year's crop of awards contenders. Most of the films I consider the best of the year are the ones that the powers that be seem to hold in high regard as well. That means these film categories should present compelling challenges to pick the better of two goods, rather than the lesser of two evils.
As always, if there is a live stream of the nominees announcement that I can post for you, I will do so right here. In the meantime, enjoy these educated predictions, which are arranged, per usual, from most likely to least likely with my commentary and with some entertaining GIFs from Golden Globes past.
Best Picture - Drama
The Irishman
Marriage Story
1917
Little Women
Joker
Next in line: Ford v Ferrari, Bombshell, The Two Popes, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Richard Jewell
When necessary, the Globes have expanded Best Picture to include six or even seven nominees. That always seems possible, and I have a hunch that one of the next in line sneaks in here that way. The award seems like one of a number that is Netflix's to win, with the company having at least two strong nominees here in Martin Scorsese's The Irishman and Noah Baumbach's Marriage Story.
A reminder if you've forgotten from last year: foreign language films are ineligible in the Best Picture categories, so Bong Joon Ho's acclaimed Parasite will sit this category out just like Roma did last year.
Best Picture - Comedy or Musical
Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
Jojo Rabbit
Rocketman
Dolemite Is My Name
Knives Out
Next in line: Cats, Hustlers, Booksmart
Thank goodness that the Hollywood Foreign Press have categorized Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood as a comedy, even though it's really no more comedic than many of his other films, all categorized as Drama, have been. Without that, this Comedy or Musical field would be unusually lackluster, especially with Uncut Gems being submitted here but ultimately ruled a Drama. Tarantino's film and Taika Waititi's anti-hate satire Jojo Rabbit are the only ones here with a prayer of cracking the Oscars' Best Picture field, which means the award is most likely going to one or the other.
Cats seems very much like a film that'd be up the Globes' alley, but we don't have much to go on besides the negative reaction to that first trailer months ago. I doubt that the HFPA enjoys Knives Out as much as critics and Internet commentators do, but how could it miss here? The Elton John biopic Rocketman seems a shoo-in as well, though it's a little odd for it to be here instead of Drama, where Bohemian Rhapsody and A Star Is Born slugged it out last year.
FYI, because most of its dialogue is not in English, The Farewell is disqualified here.
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