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72nd Golden Globe Awards (2014-15): Final Predictions, Page 2

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Page 1: Best Pictures and Lead Acting Categories

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, The Judge
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Who will win: J.K. Simmons. He's got this awards season wrapped up just like Cate Blanchett had last year's female lead in the bag. Heck, he even tied for the African-American Film Critics Association's supporting actor award, making him the only white winner there.

As sadistic, exacting jazz band instructor Terence Fletcher, J.K. Simmons is one of the surest bets of this award season.

Who should win: Simmons has my full support.
Whiplash is a great movie and his committed, fully convincing performance is a big reason for that. His long career as a reliable yet rarely celebrated character actor makes him a highly appealing selection for this award. In another year, Ruffalo may have my vote; I certainly would like to see him and Hawke part of the Oscars' Supporting Actor category, as they likely will be.

Who should have been nominated: I love Duvall and he may be the best thing about The Judge, but I'm opposed to bad movies being nominated for awards, so I would have preferred to see someone else take that place, be it clinging to contention Josh Brolin for Inherent Vice or something more outside the box, like Boyhood's highly effective Marco Perella or Guardians of the Galaxy's live-action standout Dave Bautista.

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Who will win: Meryl Streep. The Globes went through a long stretch of nominating Streep but having her lose. Since 2007, though, she's won three times. She's lost the last two years, so she may be due. I feel like this film is one the Globes won't shut out and Streep's performance seems like the most obvious source of recognition.

"Into the Woods" stars Meryl Streep as The Witch, who has placed an infertility spell on the married couple next door.

Who should win: Arquette is the Oscars' presumed frontrunner in this category and she'd be a deserving winner (and first-time nominee). She'd also be worthy here, but so would Streep, who doesn't feel ready for a fourth Oscar statuette just yet. If the two were to split this category, I'd be perfectly content with Streep taking this and then Arquette winning the Oscar.
I'm obligated to acknowledge that I haven't yet seen A Most Violent Year (thanks, A24!).

Best Director
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ava DuVernay, Selma
David Fincher, Gone Girl
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Who will win: The prevailing wisdom seems to say this award is between Linklater and Iñárritu. Iñárritu certainly displays a tremendous amount of craft in his technically potent film. But Linklater worked on Boyhood for twelve years and you've got to admire that passion and work ethic even if you don't consider the film a masterpiece. Add in the fact that he has never received a single major directing nomination in his 25-year career despite a generally agreeable body of work and Linklater seems like the obvious choice for both this and the Oscars' equivalent.

Who should win: As much as I like Linklater and enjoy many of his films, I wouldn't mind if he was recognized for something else. With Gone Girl being handily the best of these five nominated films, Fincher deserves this honor most for making so much out of a kind of airport bestseller. That said, I won't begrudge Linklater acknowledgment he's long deserved.

Best Screenplay
Birdman - Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo
Boyhood - Richard Linklater
Gone Girl - Gillian Flynn
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Wes Anderson, Hugo Guinness
The Imitation Game - Graham Moore

What should win: Gone Girl strikes me as the most creative of these five and Flynn's ability to adapt her novel deserves praise.

What will win: Boyhood's concept is much more an asset than its screenplay, which only shows a few flashes of brilliance. Gone Girl's lack of a Best Picture nomination seems to hurt its chances here. Grand Budapest and Birdman are the most fanciful of the pack, which usually helps in the Oscars' designated Original Screenplay category. The last three years, the film that wins this award goes on to win that one. Whether or not that streak continues, I will predict Grand Budapest Hotel wins this and thus does not come away empty-handed.

The story of "The Grand Budapest Hotel" is relayed in 1968 by proprietor Zero Moustafa (F. Murray Abraham) to a young writer (Jude Law).

What should have been nominated: The Lego Movie wielded a lot of creativity. So did Interstellar and Whiplash. Frankly, I'd be fine with this category losing everything except Gone Girl. You could give the last slot to a "neglected" blockbuster like Dawn of the Planet of the Apes or Guardians of the Galaxy.

Best Animated Feature
Big Hero 6
The Book of Life
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
The Lego Movie

What should win: Since I advocated it for Best Picture - Musical or Comedy above, you can bet I'm backing The Lego Movie. Big Hero 6 is my second favorite of the four that I've seen and The Boxtrolls also ranks among my favorites of all 2014 films. But it's still got to be The Lego Movie, a film that took me and many by surprise with its tremendous value.

What will win: Though its theatrical opening last February may be but a distant memory, The Lego Movie seems to have persevered through the long year and remains the favorite for this award.

Wyldstyle (a.k.a. Lucy) and Emmet Brickowski try to elude authorities and cross into another world in "The LEGO Movie."

What should have been nominated: Nothing that I've seen, but then I haven't seen as many of the 2014 animated movies as I would like to (thanks, Fox!).

Best Original Song
"Big Eyes", Big Eyes
"Glory", Selma
"Hope Is", Noah
"Opportunity", Annie
"Yellow Flicker Beat", The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1

What will win: "Glory" from Selma has weight the others lack.

What should win: "Glory" is fine with me, but...

What should have been nominated: "Everything Is Awesome" from The Lego Movie and "I'll Get You What You Want (Cockatoo in Malibu)" from Muppets Most Wanted. For an organization that chooses to recognize musicals and comedies,
the Hollywood Foreign Press has proven to be bizarrely immune to the immense charms of the Muppets, completely ignoring the practically perfect 2011 resurrection. Hopefully, the Oscars don't make the same mistake and recognize these two fun tunes, both of which I'd rather have winning than any of these nominees.

Best Original Score
Antonio Sanchez, Birdman
Hans Zimmer, Interstellar
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, Gone Girl
Alexandre Desplat, The Imitation Game
Johann Johannsson, The Theory of Everything

What should win: Interstellar, if only on the basis that what I consider the best film of the year shouldn't go home empty-handed.

What will win: Birdman, which has controversially been deemed ineligible for the Academy Awards' Original Score award.

Best Foreign Language Film
Force Majeure (Sweden)
Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem Gett (Israel)
Ida (Poland/Denmark)
Leviathan (Russia)
Tangerines (Estonia)

What should win: I have only seen one of the nominees and therefore don't feel qualified at all to say.

What will win: Ida, the only one of the five I've seen, seems like it could be the winner and if not here, then perhaps at the Oscars. Then again, I've still got to see the other four.

Don't forget to watch the Globes, hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, live this Sunday, January 11th at 5 pm Pacific/8 pm Eastern on NBC (pre-show starts one hour earlier). There are eleven television categories too, which I might find useful for snack breaks, bathroom visits, and pool tiebreakers.

<< Return
Page 1: Best Pictures and Lead Acting Categories

Related Reviews -- Golden Globe-Nominated Films:
BoyhoodThe Theory of EverythingBirdmanThe Imitation GameThe Grand Budapest HotelSt. Vincent
Gone GirlThe Lego MovieBig Hero 6NightcrawlerThe Hundred-Foot Journey
Big EyesInto the WoodsInherent ViceThe JudgeThe Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1Noah

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Posted January 7, 2015.

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