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72nd Golden Globe Awards (2014-15):
Film Nominations Preview and Predictions

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"The Theory of Everything" stars Felicity Jones and Eddie Redmayne as Jane and Stephen Hawking.

Best Actor - Drama
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Ben Affleck, Gone Girl

Next in line: Brad Pitt, Fury; Matthew McConaughey, Interstellar; David Oyelowo, Selma

This category's selections will demonstrate to us whether the Globes' reputation as star-obsessed is well-deserved. If Cumberbatch, Redmayne, and Oyelowo all get nominated over their more famous competition...then maybe the old notion of the Globes could be put to rest. Or maybe we can just assume they're trying to predict the Oscar nominees more accurately. The Globes haven't used a field of six here in almost thirty years, but this could be a year where they sneak an additional nominee in.

As her marriage flounders, Amy Dunne (Rosamund Pike) expresses her thoughts in a diary.

Best Actress - Drama
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Reese Witherspoon, Wild
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Shailene Woodley, The Fault in Our Stars

From Harry Potter to Hunger Games to The Perks of Being a Wallflower, YA adaptations are notoriously overlooked by awards organizations. But the dearth of substantial female roles makes Woodley, a 2011 Supporting Actress nominee for The Descendants, a likely exception to the rule for the blockbuster tearjerker teen romance. Which is probably more interesting than the following actress picking up a third film nomination.

Next in line: Hilary Swank, The Homesman

In "Birdman", actor Riggan Thomson (Michael Keaton) is haunted by his famous film alter ego, the superhero Birdman.

Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Bill Murray, St. Vincent
Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Mark Ruffalo, Begin Again
Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice

This is a race that would have benefitted from some category fraud, as I'm only confident in the top three getting recognized from the fairly shallow pool of talent. I am confident that Inherent Vice could be completely shut out, which would open a slot up for one of these two:

Next in line: James Corden, Into the Woods; Chris Rock, Top Five

Chadwick Boseman would have been a shoo-in for Get On Up in this category, but his movie is being treated as a Drama, not a Musical for some reason.

In Tim Burton's "Big Eyes", Walter Keane (Christoph Waltz) takes credit for the doe-eyed waifs painted by his wife Margaret (Amy Adams).

Best Actress - Musical or Comedy
Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
Angelina Jolie, Maleficent
Helen Mirren, The Hundred-Foot Journey
Keira Knightley, Begin Again

This would be the most Disneyriffic acting category ever assembled, with Blunt and Jolie hailing from actual Disney fairy tales, Adams and Knightley having famously appeared in high-profile Disney movies before, and Mirren starring in a DreamWorks movie that is distributed by Disney. It'd be an interesting field for a studio that is habitually shunned from serious awards.

Next in line: Kristen Wiig, The Skeleton Twins

Some think that Julianne Moore will become a double nominee for Maps to the Stars, but I think that's overestimating the notoriously polarizing David Cronenberg and a film of uncertain eligibility that won't receive general release until February.

"Foxcatcher" stars Channing Tatum and Mark Ruffalo as Olympic wrestling gold medalists.

Best Supporting Actor
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Edward Norton, Birdman
Miyavi, Unbroken
Chris Pine, Into the Woods

I had assumed that Johnny Depp's role as the Wolf in Into the Woods would have been expanded in some way, thus earning him a tenth Golden Globe nomination. I can tell you it's not and that his few minutes of screentime couldn't possibly be enough for even the Globes to recognize. I assume Pine benefits as a result of that and the category's slim pickings.

Next in line: Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes; Robert Duvall, The Judge; Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice

I am convinced that much of the general public will dislike Inherent Vice, so Brolin's nomination may be less likely than salty Duvall, whose film critics disliked but seemed to be liked by the few people who saw it. If the Globes like Big Eyes, Waltz could return to this category he has won twice in the past five years.

Olivia (Patricia Arquette) reads a bedtime story to Mason Jr. (Ellar Coltrane) in "Boyhood."

Best Supporting Actress
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
Emma Stone, Birdman
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Laura Dern, Wild

Next in line: Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game

There's enough star power here for Arquette and Dern to sneak in. Part of me thinks Chastain could get in for Interstellar instead, but, without having seen it, Violent appears to be the more of the acting awards type (think Sharon Stone winning Best Actress in a Drama for Casino).

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Posted December 8, 2014.

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